Brendan Chan, is a collaborative technology executive and industry thought leader with 15+ years of experience in automation, AI, and intelligent product development. Known for cross-functional leadership and innovation, he holds multiple patents, industry awards, and been invited to speak at industry events like NVIDIA GTC and SAE COMVEC.

The Green Revolution on Wheels

Ever wondered how the delivery truck that brings your packages, the bus you take to work or the refuse truck that collects your waste could become key players in our journey to make the world more sustainable? The intersection of artificial intelligence, data analytics, and commercial transportation is creating unprecedented opportunities to reimagine sustainability in an industry traditionally known for its carbon footprint. According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, despite representing less than 8 percent of total vehicles, trucks and buses are responsible for over 35 percent of direct CO2 emissions from road transport, hence the stakes couldn’t be higher or the opportunities more interesting.

Intelligent Route Optimization: Beyond Point A to Point B

The journey toward sustainable commercial transportation starts with smarter routing. AI algorithms now ingest millions of real-time data points to optimize fleet operations beyond human capability. More than just data, this space needs actionable insights and that’s where analytics and AI shine.

For refuse trucks, AI-powered route optimization can cut fuel consumption by up to 25percent by analyzing collection patterns, traffic and waste volume forecasts. The U.S. Department of Energy reports around 136,000 refuse vehicles operate daily in the U.S., each averaging 800–1,000 stops and a fuel consumption of 2.8 miles per gallon. This adds up to over 1.2 billion gallons of fuel used annually while discounting realtime variables like traffic, weather, and ad hoc requests create inefficiencies, fuel waste and missed pickups. According to Eric Hansen, CIO of Waste Connections, intelligent routing can reduce planning and admin time by 25 to 75percent and CO₂ emissions by up to 25percent. These savings matter, given the industry’s fuel spend. A waste management company spent more than $500 million on fuel in 2023 or ~3.6percent of revenue. Extrapolating that ratio across the $140 billion industry suggests total fuel costs near $5 billion.

"AI algorithms analyze realtime and historical data from vehicle sensors and diagnostic systems to predict potential equipment failures before they occur"

For delivery vehicles, machine learning now can factor in weather, real-time traffic, historical data and consumer behavior to find not just the shortest but the most energyefficient routes. These systems continuously learn, creating a cycle of efficiency that cuts emissions and costs. As a result, companies like UPS, FedEx and Amazon have adopted AIRoute Optimization (AIRO) platforms to save money, reduce emissions and ensure fast delivery. Amazon, a pioneer of same-day delivery, uses AI that ingests massive real-time data to avoid traffic and reach homes as fast as possible.

For public transit, AI enables dynamic scheduling based on demand, traffic and events like concerts or games. This means fewer empty buses on inefficient routes and better service when and where it’s needed. The seamless link between AI scheduling and routing will enable better public transit and be a welcome improvement for riders.

Predictive Maintenance: The Unseen Sustainability Champion

One of the most overlooked aspects of sustainable transportation is vehicle maintenance. Traditional scheduled maintenance often results in either premature part replacements (creating waste) or delayed repairs (causing inefficiency and potential breakdowns). AI algorithms analyze real-time and historical data from vehicle sensors and diagnostic systems to predict potential equipment failures before they occur. This allows for scheduled maintenance during downtime, reducing expensive emergency repairs and minimizing disruptions to operations. According to some fleets, this can result in a 30 percent reduction in downtime and a 20 percent improvement in vehicle uptime.

AI-driven predictive maintenance is changing this paradigm entirely. By continuously monitoring hundreds of vehicle parameters—from engine temperature to brake wear patterns— machine learning systems can now predict component failures before they occur. This allows maintenance to be performed exactly when needed, extending vehicle lifespans while simultaneously improving fuel efficiency and reducing emissions.

A fleet manager I spoke with at the ACTExpo implemented predictive maintenance across their 200-vehicle delivery fleet and saw remarkable results: a 15 percent drop in roadside breakdowns, 22 percent lower parts replacement costs and an 8 percent boost in fuel efficiency. The environmental impact was significant, but equally notable was the business case—their ROI target was met within 14 months. AI-powered fleet maintenance offers a transformative way to manage commercial vehicles, driving major gains in efficiency, cost savings, safety and operational performance.

Electrification Intelligence: Making the Transition Smarter

The transition to electric commercial vehicles presents both enormous opportunities and complex challenges. Here again, AI and data analytics are invaluable in analyzing real-time data like traffic, weather and charging station availability to determine the most efficient routes, optimizing vehicle charge and travel times.

For fleet operators considering electrification, sophisticated modeling tools can analyze existing routes, energy demands, charging infrastructure and grid capacity to create tailored transition strategies. These tools simulate countless scenarios to find the optimal mix of vehicle types, charging locations and operational adjustments based on fleet parameters.

For fleets already using electric vehicles, AI systems optimize charging schedules based on electricity prices, grid demand and operational needs. This helps predict charging behavior and align schedules with time-of-use tariffs, potentially cutting costs and improving grid stability.

Data analytics is equally critical, providing granular insights into performance metrics for continuous improvement. Some transit agencies with EV trucks use such analytics to address range anxiety among bus operators, improving energy efficiency by 18 percent through small behavioral changes.

The Road Ahead: Collaboration and Innovation

The future of sustainable commercial transportation isn’t just about technology. It’s about intelligently connecting traditionally separate parts. Progress happens when stakeholders like fleet managers, operators, tech providers, energy companies and municipal planners work together to reimagine what’s possible.

Greater information sharing across the industry will strengthen sustainability efforts. Data from intelligent transportation systems is invaluable and with responsible, anonymized frameworks, sharing it could dramatically accelerate progress.

Tools that augment human intelligence and treat AI as a copilot can help improve driver safety, optimize routes and predict maintenance needs today. The road to sustainable commercial transport may be complex, but with intelligence steering the way, it’s not just possible—it’s inevitable.